Essays · PPTs · Blog

Cities over 10 million

13 Mar 2024
 

I have generally advocated for the need for one mission team for every 100,000 people. I do this because in my experience, the median size of a rapidly multiplying movement is 100,000 - after this, they tend to spawn new movements (often counted as streams within a movement family).

I have come to think of the role of a high-level catalyst as being a person thinking about strategy for a 10 million person population. Only two or three of the very largest movements have ever gotten that large. Regardless of what strategy is used (and I still think movements are the most likely to reach such sizes), if we can’t saturate a 10 million population segment, it would be hard to see the task in any sense finished.

In a world of 2 billion or so unevangelized (3 billion unreached) people, there are 200 to 300 such segments. This then calls for 200 to 300 10M catalysts / thinkers.

This cannot be only UPG thinking. consider the following 32 cities are all over or very nearly over the 10 million population mark:

  1. Chongqing
  2. Shanghai
  3. Beijing
  4. Chengdu
  5. Karachi
  6. Guangzhou
  7. Shenzhen
  8. Delhi
  9. Istanbul
  10. Kinshasa
  11. Tianjin
  12. Tokyo
  13. Moscow
  14. Lahore
  15. Suzhou
  16. Mumbai
  17. Wuhan
  18. Sao Paulo
  19. Xi’an
  20. Hangzhou
  21. Harbin
  22. Dongguan
  23. Dhaka
  24. Jakarta
  25. Qingdao
  26. Cairo
  27. Seoul
  28. Foshan
  29. Nanjing
  30. Mexico City
  31. Jinan
  32. Tehran

Some of these obviously already have substantial Christian presence and/or engagement. Others, far less. For many of these, % Christian is well below 10% - for some, below 2%. What would it take for these cities to reach, say, 32% Christian? What would be the impact? What would be the cost?

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