Roundup #193
New Events
#Coronavirus
The live tracker is here.
… slight leveling off in deaths in mainland China cases, slight rise in other places.
… Coronavirus does not yet meet the definition of a pandemic – Axios
Experimental treatment being tested – Reuters
Economist: The Virus is Coming – Link
… 25 to 70% of any infected population will catch the disease
… 80% mild, 15% need treatment in hospital, 5% will require intensive care
… “10X as lethal as flu, the death toll worldwide could be in the millilons”
… BUT: flu mortality is 0.1%. 10X is 1%.
… For any 1,000 population with an infection in their midst, up to 700 get it, 7 die.
… “If you’re over 80, you are at extreme risk from the disease; under 50, you are not.”
Typical analysis: “Don’t panic. Doctors/virologists I’m speaking to say 98% of people will be fine, even if they get Covid-19. They expect it will go around the world, but that most people who get it will be a little sick, then recover. The danger is to vulnerable people. Hospitals/old age homes.” ~Richard Engel
That said, there’s a lot of confusion, and governments are starting to do a lot to block the spread of the virus. This will disrupt trade and travel and heighten fear and uncertainty.
Inside China
Lockdowns: Millions of people are trapped indoors – FP
National Peoples Congress postponed, first time in decades – Guardian
Religious groups in China step into the Coronavirus crisis – NYT
… “not all their efforts have been well received” …
Outside China, lots of governments panicking:
… the difficult part is when the disease spreads, can’t be monitored, and there isn’t the health infrastructure to help people recover.
… lots of conspiracy theories making the rounds, too …
The Dow Jones dropped 1,200 points as fear batters stock market – Techcrunch
The spread of COVID-19 outside China, charted – Statista
… Case number spikes: S Korea, Italy, Iran
… ‘deeply concerning’ says WHO, ‘no time for complacency’ says UN
… New first cases: Algeria, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Egypt, Nigeria
Fast-spreading coronavirus pushes Iran toward lockdown – Al-Monitor
… Iran says 12 dead, rejects higher death toll – AP
… accuses other countries of ‘scaremongering’ Iran toward lockdown – Al-Monitor
… How Qom (religious center) became Iran’s coronavirus epicenter – IranWire
… deputy health minister has contracted coronavirus – IranWire
… Friday prayers cancelled, Chinese banned from entering country – Reuters
… ‘Recipe for a massive viral outbreak’: a regional crossroads is a worldwide threat – NYT
… Countries around Iran are closing their borders – Eurasianet
Coronavirus poised for ‘outsized impact’ on S Korea – Diplomat
… tries not restricting movement of people, opposite approach of China – NYT
… launches ‘drive-thru’ coronavirus testing facilities … Reuters
Saudi Arabia closes holiest sites to foreigners – AP
… ‘unprecedented move, … not even taken during 1918 flu epidemic…’
… suspended pilgrimages, first in living memory
Pakistan shuts schools, suspends Iran flights – Reuters
Iraq bans public gatherings, travel to nine countries – Reuters
Japan closes schools for a month – NYT
Which African countries are most vulnerable – New Humanitarian
… and why have they been spared so far from the coronavirus? DW
North Africa / Warring States
Saudi Arabia steps up support for Hifter in Libya – Al-Monitor
Egypt / Sudan
After 6 years of war, will peace finally come to South Sudan? Al Jazeera
… lingering concerns, dampened expectations …
Western Africa / Lake Chad
‘Significant rise’ of insecurity in Niger Delta, report – CFR
… 416 incidents, 1,000+ deaths in 2019, 2x 2018.
Escalating Burkina Faso violence brings wider Sahel displacement into focus – UN
… 150,000 have fled in the last three weeks …
Nigeria
Information minister alleges Islamists targeting Christians to provoke religious war – Reuters
Ethiopia / Horn / East Africa
Locusts in the Horn of Africa have reached the fertile Rift Valley – Reuters
… Kenya out of pesticides, Ethiopia needs more planes, Somalia/Yemen aren’t safe
Central Asia / Caucasus
Measuring Central Asia’s shadow economies – Eurasianet
… ‘massive bazaar economy is both a driver of economic growth and a hindrance’
West Asia / Turkey
Air strike in Idlib kills 33 Turkish soldiers – Reuters
… raising fears of escalation between Turkey, Russia – NYT
… Turkey will no longer stop Syrian migrant flow into Europe – Daily Sabah
Afghanistan / Pakistan / Pashto
There’s been more than 100,000 civilians killed in Afghanistan over last decade – AP
US military officially stopped offensive operations against the Taliban in Afghanistan – Axios
Life in Kashmir: no email, WhatsApp, Internet – BuzzFeed
India
Deadly clashes between Hindus and Muslims in Delhi – Guardian
… ‘worst religious violence for decades’
… ‘Muslims flee their homes after attacks by Hindu mobs’
… riots continue to spread across northeast Delhi
… Death toll reaches 32 – Reuters
… after 3 days of riots, an uneasy calm descends – Foreign Policy
… the roots of the violence: a fiery speech & an ultimatum – NYT
… Behind the clash, fear and uncertainty for 2 million in limbo – New Humanitarian
… A Delhi neighborhood divided by a highway, now by hatred – Reuters
China
How to cheat at Xi Jinping thought – Foreign Policy
… A new mandatory app is eating up worker time, so they find ways around it
Poor migrant workers are feeling the brunt of coronavirus lockdowns – NYT
… ‘rural itinerants blocked from cities, kicked out of apartments, rejected…’
Southeast Asia
Cambodia bans online gambling operations, mainly run by Chinese – Asia Times
… over 400,000 Chinese nationals leave Sihanoukville …
… Housing prices drop 33% …
The “inside story” behind Malaysia’s political meltdown – Asia Times
… maybe?
Singapore has almost wiped out its mother tongues – Economist
… “elderly speakers of Cantonese, Hakka, Hokkien sometimes cannot talk to their own grandchildren”
New Data
Global life expectancy has more than doubled over the past century – Economist
Longer reads
Very short: Why your startup’s org chart is limiting your growth – Tomas Tunguz
… middle managers are important for scaling …
… small group leaders and coaches are important for movements scaling …
Joann Pitmann: How many Christians in China? (Part 1) – ChinaSource
Zeynep Tufekci: “How the coronavirus revealed authoritarianism’s fatal flaw.” Atlantic
Futuristics/Technology
Xi Jinping using teleconferencing to address 170k cadres around the country – SCMP
… “to make sure his words reached the provinces directly”
… “lower-level officials used to interpreting Beijing’s edicts their own way”
… more command & control, or a Chinese version of “Team of Teams” video calls?
What happens when the Internet vanishes – BBC
… last year, services deliberately shut down 200 times in 33 separate countries …
… all workers among unreached need to be prepared for such things …
… Majority of shutdowns in India
… longest shutdown, 15 month in Chad
“We are not prepared for the end of Moore’s Law” – MIT Tech Review
The recording music industry grew from $7 billion (stagnant around that from 2011 to 2015) to $9.8 billion by 2018, considered a ‘relatively safe and solid performing stock,’ powered by music streaming – Variety
First use of Deepfakes in an Indian election campaign – Vice
… is this a deepfake… or just widespread linguistic translation?
Russia launches facial recognition + widespread surveillance with 200,000 cameras covering Moscow’s 12.5 million inhabitants – Reuters
Amazon expands cashierless Go model into full-blown grocery story – Verge
“Robots aren’t taking over jobs, they are becoming bosses” – Verge
… first, they came to help us work better; then, they took over managing us …
… interesting piece about how AI is directing work, effectively managing employees …
… also, similar piece in Wired …
New languages added to Google Translate, including Uighur – Link
Firefox will turn on DNS over over HTTPS by default – Verge
… keeps people from seeing which websites you are visiting …
… but also defeats attempts to block malicious / other websites …
… Initial skim of the article shows OpenDNS is not one of the DNS choices, unfortunately …
Facebook, Google, Twitter rebel against Pakistan censorship rules – NYT
… in a rare action, jointly threaten to leave Pakistan …
Quotable
“Grace is not opposed to effort; it is opposed to earning.” ~Dallas Willard
“Self-sufficiency, while a hallmark of American culture, is dangerous to a life of faith.” ~Shane Bennett
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