The future of urbanization
May 08, 2016
The distribution of urban vs.
rural populations is naturally very different for different regions: And the pace of urbanization, which has been rapid in the past, has been slowing: So while the number of urban dwellers is increasing, the number of rural dwellers is not significantly decreasing: And more urban dwellers live in “small cities” (e.g.
They have rural-quality kinship-oriented cultures as rural dwellers aggregate into these smaller areas.
All of these trends together mean we cannot abandon either strategy to focus on one. While I have seen enough to know DMM and other like-minded strategies work in both urban and rural settings, the specific tactics employed are very different (rural areas, for example, focus on households; whereas urban areas focus on affinity groups).
We will need a mix of urban and rural strategies for many decades to come!Graph/map source: UN Urbanization Prospects.